Few sporting competitions capture global attention quite like the Premier League. Every season, twenty clubs set out with dreams of lifting the most coveted trophy in English football, but only one can be crowned champion. And as we step into the 2025/26 Premier League season, the burning question is already being asked:

Who is the favorite to win it all this year?

According to the bookmakers, football analysts, and early-season experts, one club stands out from the rest, Liverpool. But they are far from alone in the race. Arsenal and Manchester City are hovering close behind, ready to seize any slip-up, while Chelsea and Manchester United lurk as outsiders.

In this blog, we’ll break down the odds, the expert commentary, and the storylines shaping the title battle for 2025/26.

Liverpool – The Clear Favorites

If there’s one consensus across sportsbooks and pundit panels, it’s this: Liverpool are the team to beat this season.

Odds & Market Position

• Odds range: 15/8 to +180 (~2.0)

• Bookmaker consensus: Shortest price across nearly all platforms

This isn’t just optimism; it’s grounded in evidence. Liverpool enter the new campaign as the defending champions, having stormed their way to the top last year. Their dominance wasn’t a one-off fluke, it was the product of a well-drilled squad and a tactical system firing on all cylinders.

Summer Transfers That Changed Everything

Liverpool didn’t sit back and admire their silverware. Instead, they reloaded. Their summer shopping list reads like a blueprint for sustained dominance:

• Florian Wirtz – A creative midfielder who adds flair and incisiveness.

• Jeremie Frimpong – Explosive full-back with pace and attacking intent.

• Milos Kerkez – Defensive reinforcement to add depth and energy.

• Hugo Ekitike – Young forward with an eye for goal, giving attacking options beyond the main stars.

This aggressive approach in the market convinced oddsmakers to slash their prices, making Liverpool the firm frontrunners.

Expert Commentary

Football analysts point to Liverpool’s balance of experienced leaders and exciting new arrivals. The combination of squad depth, momentum, and a hunger to defend their crown has made them the “safe” bet.

Arsenal – The Biggest Threat

Hot on Liverpool’s heels are Arsenal, a club that has grown used to being the bridesmaid in recent years.

Odds & Market Position

• Odds range: 9/4 to +225

• Bookmaker consensus: Solid second-favorites

The Case for Arsenal

Arsenal’s resurgence under their current management has been nothing short of remarkable. They’ve finished runners-up multiple times, often pushing the title race deep into the season. This consistency means experts view them as Liverpool’s biggest challenger.

Strengths

• Youthful core that continues to mature year on year.

• Transfer investments shoring up depth, ensuring they can compete across all fronts.

• Style of play that combines defensive discipline with attacking flair.

Expert Predictions

Some football writers, including previews from NBC Sports and Squawka, have tipped Arsenal as the club most likely to finally dethrone Liverpool. They note the squad’s growing maturity and its ability to deliver in high-pressure games.

Manchester City – Still Dangerous

You can never count out Manchester City.

Odds & Market Position

• Odds range: 3/1 to +300

• Bookmaker consensus: Clear third favorite

Why They’re Still in It

Despite a slight dip in form last season, City’s squad depth and tactical brilliance under Pep Guardiola make them a perennial contender. Historically, City have never gone more than a single season without reclaiming the title during Guardiola’s tenure — a stat that fuels confidence in their chances.

Strengths

• Elite squad depth: Capable of fielding two strong starting elevens.

• Transfer market activity: Reinforcements brought in to fix weaknesses.

• Managerial pedigree: Guardiola’s track record speaks for itself.

Expert Commentary

While pundits are cautious after last season’s struggles, most agree City could easily bounce back. They may not carry the shortest odds this year, but they remain a very real threat.

Chelsea – The Outsiders With Potential

Chelsea’s odds paint them as long shots, but they’re also the kind of team that could surprise.

Odds & Market Position

• Odds range: 9/1 to +850

• Bookmaker consensus: Fourth place in betting markets

The Case for Chelsea

With an influx of young talent and a squad beginning to click, Chelsea have become an intriguing pick for bettors seeking value. Their improvements suggest they might not yet be ready to dominate, but they could certainly disrupt the title race.

Strengths

• Emerging players ready to break out.

• Solidifying team chemistry after a period of transition.

• Growing confidence from fans and betting markets alike.

Manchester United – Long-Shot Contenders

Rounding out the top five is Manchester United, a club whose history looms larger than its recent form.

Odds & Market Position

• Odds range: 28/1 to +3000

• Bookmaker consensus: Underdogs

Why They’re Viewed as Outsiders

Despite flashes of progress, United haven’t convinced bookmakers or analysts that they can realistically mount a title challenge. They’re seen as too inconsistent to push Liverpool, Arsenal, or City across an entire season.

That said, they still attract betting interest, largely due to their massive global fan base and the possibility of a breakout year if everything suddenly clicks.

Expert Predictions

Looking beyond the odds, expert predictions give us an even clearer picture. Analysts from NBC Sports, PremierLeague.com, Squawka, and Yahoo Sports generally agree on the following hierarchy:

1. Liverpool – Defending champions, bolstered by star signings.

2. Arsenal – Main challengers, growing stronger each season.

3. Manchester City – Dangerous as ever, though less dominant than in years past.

4. Chelsea – A work in progress but worth watching.

5. Manchester United – Outsiders, unlikely to push the top three.

The common thread? Liverpool and Arsenal dominate the conversation, with City close enough to keep things unpredictable.

Betting Market Consensus

Sportsbooks don’t set odds randomly; they reflect both statistical models and betting volume. Liverpool’s short price of 15/8 is a reflection not just of their form and signings, but also the sheer amount of money being placed on them.

Arsenal’s numbers show confidence but not dominance, while City’s 3/1 odds suggest respect without certainty. Chelsea and United, meanwhile, are longer shots but remain in the conversation thanks to their stature.

For fans and bettors alike, this alignment between bookmakers and experts adds credibility to the forecasts.

Conclusion – Liverpool Lead, But It’s a Three-Horse Race

So, who is favored to win the Premier League in 2025/26?

All roads point to Liverpool, the defending champions and bookmakers’ darling, armed with new signings and an unstoppable momentum. But don’t mistake their favoritism for inevitability. Arsenal are lurking with intent, stronger and hungrier than ever, while Manchester City remain a sleeping giant ready to pounce.

Chelsea and Manchester United round out the top five, but their chances, while not impossible, are far slimmer.

If history has taught us anything, though, it’s that the Premier League has a habit of defying expectations. Liverpool may be the smart bet, but the story of the season is still waiting to be written.

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